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ANALISIS INVESTASI: Harga minyak akan tancap gas terus? (Bag. II) 2008-01-20 12:41:57 Semua faktor yang memengaruhi minyak, seperti saya uraikan dalam artikel sebelumnya, perlu diperhatikan dengan seksama, sehingga Anda sebagai seorang investor lebih memahami dan memprediksi arah pergerakan harga komoditas ke depan.Dari sisi fundamental dan teknikal, harga minyak tahun ini kemungkinan berkisar antara US$85 dan US$125 per barel, di mana harganya dapat terkoreksi pada kuartal kedua (yang secara historis mengalami kelebihan pasokan atau permintaan).Namun, mulai kuartal ketiga diprediksi kembali menguat sampai akhir tahun.Kenaikan harga minyak ini sebetulnya juga memberikan angin segar kepada Indonesia yang kaya akan sumber daya alam. Harga komoditas a.l. emas, batu bara, dan minyak kelapa sawit ikut meningkat.Harga emas tercatat telah menguat 32% pada 2007, kenaikan tahunan terbesarnya sejak 1979. Awal tahun ini pun dimulai dengan gemilang, di mana harga emas langsung mencetak rekor tertinggi baru di level US$872,9 per troy ounce.Pencapaian itu mengikuti sentimen bullish-n ...

ANALISIS INVESTASI 2008: Harga minyak akan tancap gas terus? (Bag.I) 2008-01-20 12:33:45 Harga minyak mencapai level tertinggi dalam sejarah (all-time high) di level US$100 per barel pada 3 Januari. Angka fantastis tersebut sebetulnya sudah ditunggu sejak November 2007.Namun, ketika itu koreksi harga terlebih dahulu terjadi ke level US$85,82 per barel, sebelum mulai naik kembali pada akhir Desember. Saat ini banyak investor yang bertanya apakah harga minyak mentah tersebut akan melanjutkan kenaikannya atau malah terkoreksi secara dalam.Untuk menjawab pertanyaan itu, mari kita lihat apa yang dikatakan Jimmy Rogers, hedge fund trader ternama. Menurut dia, pada abad ke-20 terdapat tiga titik harga minyak di pasar (bull market).Dalam hal ini harga cenderung menguat, yang berlangsung lama sejak 1906 sampai 1923, 1933 sampai 1955, dan 1968 sampai 1982 - dengan angka rata-rata sepanjang 15 tahun.Umur bull market yang kita alami sekarang baru enam tahun, jadi Mr. Rogers berpikir siklus komoditas masih memiliki banyak waktu untuk berlanjut, meskipun akan ada beberapa koreksi dalam ...

WD Watch List 18 January 2008 2008-01-20 12:27:54 ...

Rumor & Rekomendasi Pasar Investor Daily 18 Januari 2008 2008-01-18 02:25:12 Cermati Saham Sampoerna Agro Saham PT Sampoerna Argo Tbk (SGRO) berpotensi menuju Rp 5.400 untuk jangka pendek. Menurut sumber Investor Daily, perseroan akan roadshow ke Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia untuk mempresentasikan rencana kerja perseroan. Rencana roadshow yang difasilitasi Commerce International Merchant Bankers (CIMB) Group Malaysia itu diperkirakan menjadi katalis penguatan SGRO. Sumber itu menambahkan, perseroan juga akan mendiversifikasi usaha di sektorbioetanol, bersinergi dengan PT Perkebunan Nusantara (PTPN) XI dengan investasi sekitar US$ 80 juta. Pada perdagangan Kamis (17/1), SGRO menguat Rp 550 di level Rp 4.850. Investor Asing Minati MFIN Pelaku pasar dapat memburu saham PT Mandala Multifinance Tbk (MFIN) untuk jangka pendek maupun menengah. Menurut sumber Investor Daily, investor Timur Tengah sedang menjajaki pembelian saham MFIN. Rencana tersebut terpicu valuasi MFIN yang masih murah. Price to book value (PBV) MFIN hanya 1,8 kali dibanding sektornya yang men ... Amp

Grafik Indeks BEI s/d Tgl 5 Januari 2006 2008-01-17 13:41:46 If I could show you a method that wins at least 75 times out of every 100 trades, could you make money? (I made over $2,000 in less than One hour...) ...

WD Watch List 17 January 2008 2008-01-17 13:40:24 ...

Rumor & Rekomendasi Pasar Investor Daily 17 Januari 2008 2008-01-17 05:36:37 Cermati Saham Antam Saham PT Aneka Tambang Tbk (ANTM) berpeluang menuju Rp 7.900 untuk jangka menengah-panjang, setelah sebelumnya akan menembus Rp 5.000. Menurut sumber Investor Daily, harga nikel dan emas yang diprediksi mencapai rekor baru bulan ini akan dimanfaatkan analis asing untuk meng-upgrade harga ANTM ke level Rp 7.900. Selain itu, laba bersih perseroan yang diperkirakan naik dua kali lipat dan rencana pembagian dividen Rp 150-200 per saham turut mendorong aksi akumulasi fund manager asing pada saham yang sempat mencapai Rp 5.300 itu. Pada perdagangan Rabu (16/1), ANTM melemah Rp 500 ke posisi Rp 3.900. Wahana Ottomitra Akan Diakuisisi Saham PT Wahana Ottomitra Multiartha Finance Tbk (WOMF) layak dikoleksi untuk jangka pendek maupun panjang. Menurut sumber Investor Daily, perseroan akan diakuisisi PT Bank Mandiri Tbk (BMRI). WOMF dinilai memenuhi persyaratan Bank Mandiri yang berencana mengakuisisi perusahaan pembiayaan bermotor kuat dan memiliki jaringan luas den ... Amp

Indicator Senin, 14 Januari 2008 2008-01-16 13:14:37 Jangka pendek:Kemungkinan masih lanjut: AALI, INDF, INTP, LSIP, SGRO, SMRA, TBLA, UNSP, UNVRYang baru/mau main:ASII, BBRI, BBNI, INCO, KLBF, TLKM, UNTRPotensial berikutnya: ANTM, BMRI, BNBR, BUMI, ELTY, RALS, TINSJangka menengah:Boleh terus akumulasi:ADHI, KLBF, SMRA, TBLA, TOTLSilahkan mulai (sedikit) akumulasi di:BBRI, RALS, TLKM ...

Intel profit jumps 51%, but disappoints investors, Chip giant's shares plunge on fourth-quarter results, weak outlook 2008-01-16 13:08:01 By Benjamin Pimentel, MarketWatch, Last update: 6:28 p.m. EST Jan. 15, 2008 SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) - Chipmaking giant Intel Corp. on Tuesday reported a 51% jump in net profit thanks to gains in its microprocessor and chipset businesses, but the results still missed Wall Street estimates and the company's shares fell nearly 15% after the news was released. Adding to investor gloom, Intel's forecast for the current period disappointed investors who were already worried about the outlook for technology in the coming year. Intel shares plunged nearly 15% in after-hours trading Tuesday after the report came out. The stock had already given up nearly 20% of its value since peaking near the $28 mark a month ago. The chipmaker reported fourth-quarter net income of $2.27 billion, or 38 cents per share, compared with a profit of $1.5 billion, or 26 cents per share, for the year-ago period. The company also reported revenue of $10.71 billion, compared with $9.69 billion for the same ... Intel

Bank of Japan Cuts Assessment of Regional Economies 2008-01-16 13:02:51 Jan. 15 (Bloomberg) -- The Bank of Japan cut its evaluation of regional economies for the first time after four of its nine branches said conditions in their areas were worsening. ``The economy as a whole was on a moderate expansion trend, as most regions continued expanding or recovering, albeit with some sluggishness and regional differences,'' the branch managers said in a quarterly report in Tokyo today. The downgrade was the first since the report began in April 2005. The bank lowered its assessment of Hokkaido, Tohoku, Hokuriku and Kanto-Koshinetsu, indicating that economies outside metropolitan areas aren't benefiting from Japan's longest postwar expansion. Growth will keep slowing ``for the time being,'' Governor Toshihiko Fukui told the branch managers, reinforcing speculation the central bank may cut interest rates. ``Today's report underscores clearly that Japan's long- standing economic expansion is running out of steam in the regions,'' said Yasunari Ueno, ch ...

Citigroup swings to loss on $18 billion write-down 2008-01-16 12:52:09 By Greg Morcroft, MarketWatch, Last update: 10:11 a.m. EST Jan. 15, 2008NEW YORK Citigroup Inc., the nation's largest bank by assets, reported Tuesday its first quarterly loss since 1998, ending the suspense on Wall Street over just how badly the collapse of the mortgage industry and consumer belt-tightening would dent its balance sheet and reputation. At the same time, Citigroup slashed its dividend by 41% and raised more than $12 billion to bolster its capital position. The company swung to a fourth-quarter loss of $9.83 billion, or $1.99 a share, from net income of $5.13 billion, or $1.03 a share, in the year-earlier period. Continued woes in the subprime-mortgage market caused the bank to book pre-tax write-downs and credit costs of about $18.1 billion. Results for the latest quarter also included a $4.1 billion increase in credit costs incurred in Citigroup's U.S. consumer-loan portfolio. "There was significant deterioration in consumer credit quality this quarter and th ...

JCI Expected to Move Lower at 2,685-2,635 2008-01-16 12:45:23 Wednesday, 16 January 2008 09:52:35StockWatch (Jakarta) - The Jakarta composite index (JCI) is expected to move lower today (16/1) at support range of 2,685-2,635 tracking the US and the regional stock markets, while the resistance range is projected at 2,760-2,800.Mega Capital Indonesia's head of research, Felix Sindhunata, said JCI closed lower on Tuesday (15/1) by 80.341 points (2.86%) at 2,730.031 as increase in the US stock markets on Monday (14/1) had no positive impact on the regional markets as well as the Jakarta market index.Decline in the Jakarta idex on Tuesday was triggered by stocks of nearly all sectors chiefly infrastructure that stumbled 5.13% and various industries that slid 4.6%, while the agriculture sector stocks enjoyed a slight hike of 0.09%, he said.Like Sindhunata, Optima Investama's market analyst Ikhsan Binarto said the composite index is expected to step down today at support level 2,680 with resistance level predicted at 2,800.Binarto said further that th ...

U.S. Stocks Decline on Citigroup's Loss, Drop in Retail Sales 2008-01-16 12:41:25 Jan. 15 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. stock market resumed its January tumble after Citigroup Inc. reported a record loss, retail sales unexpectedly dropped and falling oil prices dragged down energy shares. Citigroup, the largest U.S. bank, declined to a five-year low in New York Stock Exchange trading after cutting its dividend by 41 percent and writing off $18 billion for mortgage defaults. Chevron Corp., the second-biggest U.S. oil company, dropped the most in seven weeks. Apple Inc. slumped to the lowest in two months on the Nasdaq Stock Market after new products failed to impress investors. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index lost 35.3, or 2.5 percent, to 1,380.95, marking its worst start since the first 10 trading days of 1978. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 277.04, or 2.2 percent, to 12,501.11, the fifth decline of more than 220 points this year. The Nasdaq Composite Index decreased 60.71, or 2.5 percent, to 2,417.59. More than seven stocks fell for every one that rose on t ...

Rumor Saham Investor Daily 15 Januari 2008 2008-01-14 22:15:04 Akumulasi Saham Tunas Baru Saham PT Tunas Baru Lampung Tbk (TBLA) layak dikoleksi untuk jangka pendek maupun menengah. Menurut sumber Investor Daily, investor asal Timur Tengah sedang menjajaki pembelian 8% saham perseroan yang dimiliki salah satu pemegang saham. Saat ini, investor tersebut dalam proses persetujuan harga dengan penawaran di kisaran Rp 790-830 per saham. “Tingginya harga penawaran tersebut mencerminkan kinerja perusahaan yang menjanjikan,” ujar sumber itu. Pada perdagangan Senin (14/1), TBLA ditutup menguat Rp 40 di level Rp 690. Cermati Saham Sumalindo Saham PT Sumalindo Lestari Jaya Tbk (SULI) dapat diakumulasi untuk jangka pendek, karena harganya berpeluang menembus level Rp 4.000. Menurut sumber Investor Daily,rencana perusahaan terafiliasi, Samko Timber yang segera listing di bursa Singapura (SGX) tahun ini diprediksi menjadi katalis penguatan harga saham Sumalindo. Sumber itu menjelaskan, Samko Timber merupakan perusahaan patungan grupSampoerna dan ...

Rumor Pasar Investor Daily 14 Januari 2008 2008-01-14 12:31:34 Cermati Saham Eterindo Pemodal dapat mencermati pergerakan saham PT Eterindo Wahanatama Tbk (ETWA) dalam perdagangan jangka pendek. Menurut sumber Investor Daily, harga saham Eterindo akan terangkat hingga ke level Rp 500 sebelum menuju Rp 800. Potensi kenaikan harga ETWA diduga terpicu masuknya sejumlah investor asing. Apalagi, rencana Eterindo mengakuisisi lahan kosong di Kalimantan melalui mekanisme joint venture untuk penanaman bahan baku biodiesel seperti kelapa sawit dapat berdampak positif bagi kinerja perseroan. Pada perdagangan Rabu (9/1), ETWA menguat Rp 20 ke level Rp 430. (art) Akumulasi Saham Indah Kiat Saham PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk (INKP) berpeluang menuju Rp 1.100 untuk jangka pendek hingga menengah. Menurut sumber Investor Daily,perseroan melalui induk perusahaan, Asia Pulp and Paper (APP) sedang melakukan joint venture dengan perusahaan Tiongkok untuk menggarap proyek di Provinsi Hainan, Tiongkok dengan menyediakan dana senilai US$ 1,8 milliar. Sela ...